abrupt change Archives - Climate Change T-shirts

Mar 05

Like an Avalanche – Extremes Beyond our Earth’s Systems’ Evolution

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, climate, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Reform, climate restoration, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, collapse, Earth systems, Emissions flip, evolutionary boundaries, Extreme Weather, Impacts, natural variation, Negative emissions, Scenarios, threshold, tipping

Onion Creek Flood 2013, US 183 bridge, Austin, Texas – new record flood depth. Climate change has returned to the news in full force with the Council of Parties meeting…

Jan 08

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Climate Change – Where do we move?

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, adaptation, alternatives, climate, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, collapse, dystopian, EArh systems, Earth systems, economic collapse, Emissions flip, existential, Extreme Weather, feedback, migration, Negative emissions, scenario bias, Scenarios, sequestration, short-term, The Unexpected, thresholds, tipping, What we can do, Where do we move

“Where do we move?” Retirees want to know where they can escape climate change impacts. Those seeking to give their kids the best life they can want to know. The…

Jul 18

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22,000 Percent Increase In Heat Extremes 1980 to Present – 60,000 Percent More Likely

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, extreme heat, Extreme Weather, Heat, heat wave, Impacts, Russian heat, Temperature

Extreme Heat Increased 22,100 Percent in Last 40 Years James Hansen has a new post out to his big list where he shows heat extremes across Northern Hemisphere land areas…

Mar 13

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Climate Science Compromise Feedback Loop and Unrecoverable Impacts

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, adaptation, Antarctica, Beaches coastal, Climate Catastrophes, climate change, Climate Culture, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, communications, compromise, consensus, Deniers and Delayers, feedback, global warming, Global Warming psychology, Healthy Climate, ice sheet, Impacts, irreversible, is global warming real, Legacy Policy, Media, Messaging, modeling, Policy, politics, Psycho, Public opinion, Sea Level Rise, The Unexpected, unrecoverable, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Why are climate change impacts so much worse than projected? What does it mean? Why don’t we do something? In a nutshell, science is conservative, it’s slow, and the great climate…

Jul 23

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Arctic Sea Ice, More Than Half Gone

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, Arctic, Arctic Sea Ice, averages, climate change, Extreme Weather, feedback, feedbacks, global warming, is global warming real, sea ice

With Five Times As Much Warming Just what do all the squiggly lines mean? To start with, the way science is shown to us civilians is a bit misleading generally….

Jul 16

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How much CO2 reduction, how much does it cost, and what’s it worth? A Detailed Primer

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, atmopsheric removal, Carbon Engineering, climate, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 reduction, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Global Thermostat, global warming, Healthy Climate, Negative emissions, reversal, sequestration, Strategy

Joule, Corrected proof. doi:10.1016/j.joule.2018.05.006 We have been moving towards the answers to these questions forever it seems, so here goes: Immediately below is my summary. Further down are thoughts on…

Jul 03

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New Evaluation of Climate Models Reveals Abrupt Changes Ahead of Schedule

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, abrupt climate change, ahead of schedule, Amazon, Amazon Collapse, climate models, dieback, Drought, Extreme Weather, forest health, Forest Mortality, Greenland, Gulf Stream, Gulf Stream Shutdown, ice sheets, Impacts, modeling, The Unexpected

It’s not the averages that will mess up your hair, it’s the gusts. This work on modeling the unmodelable (Drijfhout 2015) is a couple of years old now, but it gives…

Mar 25

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Sing Delay, Delay, Delay: 0.5 C Limit to Dangerous Climate Change

By bmelton 0.5 C, 1.5 C, 2 C, abrupt change, Abrupt changes, abrupt climate change, Arctic, Arctic sea ice collapse, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, CO2, dangerous climate change, delay, Emissions, Greenland, Gulf Stream, Gulf Stream Collapse, ice sheet, Impacts, Legacy Policy, Methane, modeling, Policy, sea ice, Strategy, West Antarctic Ice Sheet, West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse

Point 660, Greenland Ice Sheet, 20 miles east of Kangerlussuaq on the west coast. Physics is important. An enormous amount of heat is required to melt ice. This is why…

Feb 21

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Abrupt Sea Level Rise Warning From NOAA: Paris Inadequate

By bmelton 300x2050, abrupt change, Abrupt changes, Abrupt sea level rise, Antarctica, Beaches coastal, Climate Culture, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, economics, emisions reductions, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Healthy Climate, ice sheets, Impacts, Negative emissions, net zero, non CO2 greenhouse gases, Paris, Scenarios, Sea Level Rise, Solutions, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Padre Island National Seashore, 52 miles beyond the “Four-wheel Drive Only” sign. Dune erosion from normal biannual high tides — the King and Spring Tides in October and April. NOAA’s…

Nov 04

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Very Large Negative Emissions: Beyond Paris Emissions Reductions to a Safe and Healthy Climate

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, Antarctica, California Fires, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions Scenarios, Extreme Weather, Hurricane Harvey, Hurricane Sandy, Impacts, modeling, Negative emissions, Paris Emissions Reductions, Policy, Scenarios, Sea Level Rise, Strategy, Texas Drought, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

The Devil’s Elbow: Just about as far as one can get from anywhere in Texas, this area is the big bend in the Texas coast on Padre Island, 35 miles…

Sep 04

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When Does Climate Catastrophism Become Climate Reality?

By bmelton abrupt change, Abrupt changes, adaptation, Antarctica, catastrophe, Catastrophism, certainty, climate, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Culture, Climate Policy, economics, Extreme Weather, flood, Hurricane Harvey, modeling, Policy, Professional judegement, reality, resource abandonment

As flood frequency increases, when will the time come where recovery is no longer worth the effort? Climate catastrophism, or as it will be called soon, reality, is getting tougher…

abrupt change

Like an Avalanche – Extremes Beyond our Earth’s Systems’ Evolution

Climate Change – Where do we move?

22,000 Percent Increase In Heat Extremes 1980 to Present – 60,000 Percent More Likely

Climate Science Compromise Feedback Loop and Unrecoverable Impacts

Arctic Sea Ice, More Than Half Gone

How much CO2 reduction, how much does it cost, and what’s it worth? A Detailed Primer

New Evaluation of Climate Models Reveals Abrupt Changes Ahead of Schedule

Sing Delay, Delay, Delay: 0.5 C Limit to Dangerous Climate Change

Abrupt Sea Level Rise Warning From NOAA: Paris Inadequate

Very Large Negative Emissions: Beyond Paris Emissions Reductions to a Safe and Healthy Climate

When Does Climate Catastrophism Become Climate Reality?

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